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Uncover the True ROI of Your Media Mix
Measure the incremental contribution of media, promotions, seasonality, and external variables to understand which levers drive your business growth.
01
Baseline and Growth Drivers
We quantify the brand’s baseline, expected sales even without marketing activities, and identify the structural drivers that determine its evolution. This forms the necessary foundation for accurately attributing results to various factors.
The MMM model also offers a long-term perspective on the impact of marketing (base price, distribution, number of items) and media (TV & awareness media) on the baseline, supporting more strategic budget allocation.
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02
Competitive Analysis
We measure the impact of the competitive landscape and market scenario on your business: competitor media pressure, industry events, macro dynamics.
“We tell you how much of your performance depends on the market and how much on you.”
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03
Marketing Contribution Index
We break down revenue into three components: baseline, incremental marketing contribution, and the impact of promotions, then synthesize the result into the Marketing Contribution Index: the share of revenue generated by marketing and promotions beyond expected sales in the absence of activity.
It’s the number the CMO brings to the Board: “This is what marketing truly generates.”
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04
Optimized Media Mix
We build optimized mix proposals based on client objectives and simulate forecast scenarios for key KPIs. Actionable output, not just descriptive.
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05
ROI Per Channel
ROI for each channel in the mix, with explicit confidence intervals. Not a magic number, but a range: the CMO knows how solid every piece of data they have is.
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Deliverables
Strategic Presentation
Quarterly or semi-annual strategic presentation with model results, key insights, and mix recommendations.
Periodic Optimizations
Periodic mix optimizations with forecast scenarios and reallocation simulations.
MCI Index
That % number the CFO is looking for. The direct link between marketing spending and revenue.
Option to Add CoreForecast
Option to add CoreForecast for decision-making autonomy between refreshes.
Availability of a Senior Advisor
Availability of a senior advisor throughout the year for decisions requiring consultation.
Questions We Can Answer:
What is the ROI of different Offline channels: TV, Radio, print, OOH?
What is the ROI of SEM vs. Paid Social?
How much does advertising contribute in the short and long term?
What is the best phasing in terms of on-air/off-air?
What is the effect of seasonality and how should resources be allocated throughout the year?
Advanced Measurement Tools
The basic modules address a CMO’s main strategic priorities. For more specific needs, we offer advanced modules available as add-ons.
Core Creative
We measure how creativity, format, and spot duration impact campaign results. We analyze the effectiveness of in-flight creatives, their progressive wear-out, and the contribution of different lengths (15", 30", and 60") to ROI. This module is designed for brands with significant investments in creative production.
Core Digital
We measure the incremental contribution of various digital channels, separating genuinely generated demand from merely intercepted demand. By integrating investments, impressions, clicks, and revenues, we evaluate ROI and marginal returns per channel, analyze synergies and overlaps (e.g., between SEO and SEM), and assess the effect of new platforms entering the mix. The insights indicate where to increase, reduce, or reallocate budget and monitor how AI Overviews and LLMs are changing organic traffic and conversions. Designed for brands with a significant digital share and frequent allocation decisions across channels and platforms.
Core Store
We measure the in-store uplift generated by media activities, promotions, and local initiatives, integrating POS data, sell-out, and store traffic. The insights show which levers generate more visits and sales, where to concentrate investments, and how to differentiate actions by area or store. This module is designed for brands with a significant physical network.
Core Promo
We measure the incremental impact of promotions relative to the baseline, by type or individual initiative, comparing generated sales with those expected in the absence of the promotion. The insights help define optimal frequency, depth, and calendar, concentrating investments on the most effective and sustainable mechanics. This module is designed for retailers, FMCG companies, and e-commerce businesses with intense promotional activity.
Frequently Asked Questions
What data is needed to build the model?
We use sales data, media investments, promotions, seasonality, and key external or competitive variables. Initially, we verify the quality, granularity, and historical depth of the data to define the most robust scope for the analysis.
How does Marketing Mix Modeling differ from last-click attribution?
Last-click attribution assigns credit to the last tracked touchpoint before conversion. Marketing Mix Modeling, however, measures the incremental contribution of different channels, including offline media, also considering promotions, seasonality, competition, and other external variables.
How long does the analysis take and how often is it updated?
The timing and frequency of the analysis depend on data availability, the number of markets, and the complexity of the media mix. After the initial phase, the update frequency is custom-calibrated for the client. After the initial setup phase, the cadence is defined together based on the granularity and robustness of new data. This ensures recommendations are always current, ready to guide strategic choices.
How are the results translated into budget decisions?
The model estimates ROI per channel, identifies marginal returns, and simulates alternative allocation scenarios. This allows the team to compare different investment options and choose the mix most consistent with objectives, constraints, and risk level.
How reliable are the ROI estimates?
We evaluate the internal consistency between ROI and elasticity, the economic sense of the results, and the statistical robustness of the model. Each estimate is then accompanied by confidence intervals to transparently indicate its degree of solidity.
Related Services
Core Forecast
Your MMM's what-if tool. Simulate reallocations, anticipate effects, prepare the Board. Self-service, always available, built on your model.
Core Advisory
A senior advisor, when you truly need one. 1:1 consulting available for activation during the moments that matter: annual budgeting, multi-year plans, and validation of strategic choices.
Core Direct
Direct response on awareness media. How much do TV, Online Video, or Out of Home sell? CoreDirect measures the direct effect on sales.
Do You Know the ROI of All Your Channels?
Discover which channels generate incremental value, where to reallocate your budget, and which scenarios can support growth. Let’s talk.